據(jù)5月13日Investing.com報(bào)道，分析師預(yù)測(cè)庫(kù)存將上漲500萬(wàn)桶。在美國(guó)石油學(xué)會(huì)(API)預(yù)測(cè)原油供應(yīng)將繼續(xù)增加一周后，亞洲市場(chǎng)周三上午油價(jià)漲跌互現(xiàn)。

美國(guó)石油學(xué)會(huì)預(yù)計(jì)，截至5月8日當(dāng)周，美國(guó)原油庫(kù)存將增加758萬(wàn)桶。在沙特阿拉伯宣布在4月初與歐佩克達(dá)成的減產(chǎn)協(xié)議基礎(chǔ)上，6月份又將日產(chǎn)量削減100萬(wàn)桶后，WTI期貨價(jià)格在上個(gè)交易日上漲6.8%。

這一消息促使科威特和阿聯(lián)酋承諾進(jìn)一步減產(chǎn)18萬(wàn)桶/天。但這一突然的消息令一些投資者質(zhì)疑進(jìn)一步減產(chǎn)的動(dòng)機(jī)。

”聯(lián)邦銀行礦業(yè)和能源經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家Vivek Dhar告訴CNBC：“減產(chǎn)承諾意義重大，在宣布的如此突然的情況下，人們無(wú)法確定這是一項(xiàng)積極的政策，還是只是對(duì)需求疲弱的一種反應(yīng)。”

盡管這一庫(kù)存增幅小于上周的840萬(wàn)桶，但API數(shù)據(jù)令投資者懷疑，隨著存儲(chǔ)空間迅速耗盡，減產(chǎn)是否足以應(yīng)對(duì)不可避免的供應(yīng)過(guò)剩危機(jī)。

聯(lián)邦銀行的Dhar補(bǔ)充道：“在需求方面，可能有一種觀點(diǎn)認(rèn)為，就峰值損害點(diǎn)而言，最糟糕的情況可能已經(jīng)過(guò)去。如果我們真的看到第二波疫情浪潮，那將進(jìn)一步損害需求和定價(jià)。”

隨著WTI 6月合約在5月19日接近到期日，投資者將密切關(guān)注這種黑色能源，并希望油價(jià)可以避免再次跌入負(fù)值區(qū)間。

鄒勤 摘譯自 Investing.com

原文如下：

Oil Mixed as API Reports Another Week of Supply Increases

Oil was mixed on Wednesday morning in Asia after the American Petroleum Institute (API) predicted another week of increases in crude oil supply.

The American Petroleum Institute (API) estimated a 7.58-million-barrel increase in U.S. crude oil inventories for the week ending May 8 overnight. Analyst forecasts prepared by Investing.com predicted a 5-million-barrel increase.

WTI futures jumped 6.8% during the last session after Saudi Arabia announced a further 1 million bpd cut to production in June on top of its cuts agreed to with OPEC+ in early April.

The announcement prompted Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates to pledge a further 180,000 bpd cut in production.

But the sudden announcement led some investors to question the motives for the further cuts.

“It was so sudden and so significant, it was just seen as: ‘Is this a proactive policy or just a reaction to weak demand?’” Vivek Dhar, Commonwealth Bank’s mining and energy economist, told CNBC.

Although the increase was smaller than last week’s figure of 8.4 million barrels, the API data left investors wondering if the cuts are enough to avoid the inevitable oversupply as storage space rapidly runs out.

Commonwealth Bank’s Dhar added, “On the demand side there’s probably a view that the worst may be behind us, in terms of the peak damage point. If we do see a second wave, that would hurt demand and hurt pricing.”

As the WTI June contract edges closer to its expiry date on May 19, investors will be monitoring the black liquid and hoping to avoid another dip into negative territory.